Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Sutton United |
41.9% ( 3.4) | 26.79% ( -0.53) | 31.31% ( -2.87) |
Both teams to score 50.59% ( 0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.67% ( 1.43) | 54.33% ( -1.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.29% ( 1.18) | 75.71% ( -1.19) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.39% ( 2.53) | 25.61% ( -2.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.51% ( 3.33) | 60.49% ( -3.33) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.01% ( -1.21) | 31.99% ( 1.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.55% ( -1.4) | 68.45% ( 1.4) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Sutton United |
1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.64) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.47) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.51) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.24) Other @ 2.33% Total : 41.9% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.47) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.86) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.69) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leyton Orient | 42 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 84 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 43 | 21 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 77 |
3 | Stevenage | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 76 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 60 | 36 | 24 | 72 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 72 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 71 |
7 | Salford City | 43 | 20 | 9 | 14 | 66 | 49 | 17 | 69 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 67 | 51 | 16 | 69 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 18 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 62 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 43 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 57 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 55 |
12 | Grimsby Town | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 55 |
13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 43 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 54 |
14 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 52 |
15 | Walsall | 43 | 11 | 18 | 14 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 51 |
16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 41 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 51 |
17 | Gillingham | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 51 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 50 |
19 | AFC Wimbledon | 43 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 47 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 46 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 42 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 45 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 43 | 10 | 12 | 21 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 42 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 43 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 48 | 74 | -26 | 39 |
24 | Rochdale | 43 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 34 |
> Full Version |