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AFC Wimbledon
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Swindon Town
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Walsall
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK at The County Ground
League Two | Gameweek 21
Swindon
0 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Blake-Tracy (29'), Lavinier (89')
FT

Pell (63'), Woodyard (71'), Maghoma (81'), Davison (90')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 0-2 AFC Wimbledon

With just two points separating Swindon Town and AFC Wimbledon in the standings, we anticipate an end-to-end affair with both sides going all out for the victory. However, the Dons are favourites heading into the weekend as the home side have suffered a slump in form and struggled to find the back of the net in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
59.68% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01) 23.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 17.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.91% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.17% (-0.106 -0.11)52.83% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.55% (-0.093 -0.09)74.45% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)17.38% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.2% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)47.8% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.57% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)44.43% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.53% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)80.47% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 59.68%
    AFC Wimbledon 17.07%
    Draw 23.25%
Swindon TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 13.51% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.82% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 59.68%
1-1 @ 10.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23.25%
0-1 @ 6.27% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 17.07%

How you voted: Swindon vs AFC Wimbledon

Swindon Town
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
AFC Wimbledon
50.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
AFC Wimbledon
4-1
Swindon
Pigott (20' pen., 54'), Nightingale (26'), Assal (44')
McLoughlin (90+3')
Smith (79')
Grounds (20'), Lyden (26'), Pitman (45+2')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
0-0
Swindon

Robinson (30'), Parrett (62'), Bulman (68'), Charles (91')

Kasim (32'), Thomas (69'), Thompson (79'), Vigouroux (89')
Jan 2, 2012 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeyton Orient432512658292987
2Northampton TownNorthampton442214860402080
3Stevenage432113957391876
4Stockport CountyStockport4421121161362575
5Carlisle UnitedCarlisle442015963392475
6Salford City442191469511872
7Bradford CityBradford431915956381872
8Mansfield TownMansfield4320121168511772
9BarrowBarrow44188184649-362
10Swindon TownSwindon431513155851758
11Tranmere RoversTranmere441512174446-257
12Sutton UnitedSutton441512174453-957
13Grimsby Town431413164654-855
14Newport CountyNewport431314164750-353
15Gillingham441313183447-1352
16Doncaster RoversDoncaster44157224463-1952
17Walsall441118154448-451
18Crewe AlexandraCrewe421215154153-1251
19Colchester UnitedColchester441213194448-449
20AFC Wimbledon441114194758-1147
21Harrogate TownHarrogate431015185364-1145
22Crawley TownCrawley441112214769-2245
23Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool44815214876-2839
RRochdale44810264168-2734

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