Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille
2 - 1
Panathinaikos
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Ioannidis (90+9' pen.)
Brignoli (25'), Vagiannidis (67'), Jedvaj (67'), Mancini (88'), Perez (90+5'), Gnezda Cerin (91')
Brignoli (25'), Vagiannidis (67'), Jedvaj (67'), Mancini (88'), Perez (90+5'), Gnezda Cerin (91')
Panathinaikos win 4-2 on penalties
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Reims
Saturday, August 12 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, August 12 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Panathinaikos 1-0 Marseille
Wednesday, August 9 at 7pm in Champions League
Wednesday, August 9 at 7pm in Champions League
We say: Marseille 2-0 Panathinaikos (Marseille win 2-1 on aggregate)
Marseille will fancy their chances of turning this tie around on home soil, and it is set to be a fascinating contest on Tuesday night. Panathinaikos deserve a lot of respect, but the French outfit have enough quality to overcome the one-goal deficit in order to progress to the playoff round. Read more.Advert - more content below:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Panathinaikos |
54.34% ( -0.01) | 23.88% ( 0) | 21.77% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.57% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
