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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
29.72% ( -1.23) | 26.38% ( -0.23) | 43.91% ( 1.46) |
Both teams to score 51.13% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.69% ( 0.43) | 53.31% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.15% ( 0.36) | 74.86% ( -0.36) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.39% ( -0.66) | 32.61% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.85% ( -0.75) | 69.15% ( 0.75) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.87% ( 0.92) | 24.13% ( -0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.56% ( 1.3) | 58.44% ( -1.29) |
Score Analysis |
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.72% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.66% Total : 43.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 53 |
2 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
3 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 49 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 46 |
6 | Barnsley | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 43 |
7 | Stevenage | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 43 |
8 | Blackpool | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 39 |
9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 32 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 30 |
14 | Port Vale | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
15 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 30 |
16 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 29 |
17 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 27 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
20 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 26 |
21 | Reading | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 23 |
22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |