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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Northampton Town |
49.27% ( -0.06) | 23.99% ( -0.03) | 26.74% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 56.68% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.93% ( 0.21) | 45.07% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.58% ( 0.2) | 67.42% ( -0.2) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.62% ( 0.06) | 18.38% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.48% ( 0.1) | 49.52% ( -0.1) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.44% ( 0.18) | 30.55% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.22% ( 0.21) | 66.78% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Northampton Town |
2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.44% Total : 49.27% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.99% | 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 26.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 53 |
2 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
3 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 49 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 46 |
6 | Barnsley | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 43 |
7 | Stevenage | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 43 |
8 | Blackpool | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 39 |
9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 32 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 30 |
14 | Port Vale | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
15 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 30 |
16 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 29 |
17 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 27 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
20 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 26 |
21 | Reading | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 23 |
22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |