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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Stevenage |
43.85% ( -0.15) | 25.54% ( -0.08) | 30.61% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 54.2% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.47% ( 0.44) | 49.52% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.44% ( 0.39) | 71.55% ( -0.39) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.48% ( 0.11) | 22.52% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.9% ( 0.17) | 56.09% ( -0.18) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.96% ( 0.38) | 30.04% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.84% ( 0.46) | 66.16% ( -0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 43.84% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.22% Total : 30.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 53 |
2 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
3 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 49 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 46 |
6 | Barnsley | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 43 |
7 | Stevenage | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 43 |
8 | Blackpool | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 39 |
9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 32 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 30 |
14 | Port Vale | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
15 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 30 |
16 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 29 |
17 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 27 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
20 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 26 |
21 | Reading | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 23 |
22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |