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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
36.25% ( 0) | 25.44% ( -0) | 38.32% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 56.17% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.31% ( 0.01) | 47.69% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.11% ( 0.01) | 69.89% ( -0.01) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.38% ( 0) | 25.62% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.49% ( 0.01) | 60.51% ( -0.01) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.52% ( 0.01) | 24.49% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.06% ( 0.01) | 58.94% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.18% 2-0 @ 5.82% 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 36.25% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.46% 0-2 @ 6.21% 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.03% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 53 |
2 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
3 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 49 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 46 |
6 | Barnsley | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 43 |
7 | Stevenage | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 43 |
8 | Blackpool | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 39 |
9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 32 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 30 |
14 | Port Vale | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
15 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 30 |
16 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 29 |
17 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 27 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
20 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 26 |
21 | Reading | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 23 |
22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |