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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Cambridge United |
42.41% ( 0.7) | 26.83% ( 0.25) | 30.76% ( -0.95) |
Both teams to score 50.23% ( -1.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.32% ( -1.29) | 54.68% ( 1.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.99% ( -1.08) | 76.01% ( 1.08) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.5% ( -0.22) | 25.5% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.65% ( -0.31) | 60.35% ( 0.31) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.43% ( -1.34) | 32.57% ( 1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.9% ( -1.52) | 69.1% ( 1.52) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Cambridge United |
1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.33% Total : 42.4% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 53 |
2 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
3 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 49 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 46 |
6 | Barnsley | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 43 |
7 | Stevenage | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 43 |
8 | Blackpool | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 39 |
9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 32 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 30 |
14 | Port Vale | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
15 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 30 |
16 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 29 |
17 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 27 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
20 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 26 |
21 | Reading | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 23 |
22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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