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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Morecambe in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Morecambe.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
42.64% ( -0.05) | 26.16% ( 0.05) | 31.2% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 52.51% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.16% ( -0.2) | 51.84% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.4% ( -0.17) | 73.6% ( 0.17) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.89% ( -0.11) | 24.11% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.59% ( -0.16) | 58.41% ( 0.16) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.2% ( -0.09) | 30.8% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.92% ( -0.11) | 67.07% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 42.64% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 31.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 26 | 27 | 51 |
2 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 49 |
3 | Wrexham | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 49 |
4 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 48 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 44 |
6 | Notts County | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 42 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 39 |
8 | MK Dons | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 39 |
9 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 39 |
10 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 38 |
11 | Gillingham | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 37 |
13 | Walsall | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 36 |
14 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 34 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 34 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 33 |
17 | Morecambe | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 33 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 31 |
19 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 28 |
20 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 27 |
21 | Salford City | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 24 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 24 |
23 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 18 |
24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |