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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
King Power Stadium
Sunderland

Leicester
1 - 0
Sunderland

Justin (12')
Iheanacho (40'), Vestergaard (50'), Justin (67'), Pereira (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Nien (50'), Hume (54'), Cirkin (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 2-0 Sunderland

Sunderland are certainly capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Leicester, but we are finding it very difficult to back anything other than a home win here. The Foxes have so much quality all over the pitch and should have too much for their opponents on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawSunderland
46.69% (0.567 0.57) 23.56% (-0.023 -0.02) 29.74% (-0.546 -0.55)
Both teams to score 60.48% (-0.263 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.93% (-0.198 -0.2)41.07% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.53% (-0.201 -0.2)63.46% (0.199 0.2)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (0.145 0.14)17.84% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4% (0.254 0.25)48.6% (-0.255 -0.25)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)26.38% (0.452 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.47% (-0.605 -0.6)61.53% (0.603 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 46.69%
    Sunderland 29.75%
    Draw 23.56%
Leicester CityDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.111 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.99% (0.129 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.035 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 46.69%
1-1 @ 10.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 7.2% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 29.75%

How you voted: Leicester vs Sunderland

Leicester City
87.0%
Draw
7.2%
Sunderland
5.8%
69
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2017 7.45pm
Dec 3, 2016 3pm
Sunderland
2-1
Leicester
Huth (64' og.), Defoe (77')
van Aanholt (68'), Larsson (72'), Djilobodji (78')
Okazaki (80')
Fuchs (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds38257670284282
2Leicester CityLeicester37264774334182
3Ipswich TownIpswich38249580493181
4Southampton36227773472673
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381991059362366
6Norwich CityNorwich381871369541561
7Hull City371610115346758
8Coventry CityCoventry3715121059431657
9Preston North EndPreston37168134954-556
10Middlesbrough38166165352154
11Cardiff CityCardiff38165174351-853
12Sunderland38146184845348
13Watford381212145351248
14Bristol City38138174245-347
15Swansea CitySwansea381210164858-1046
16Millwall381110173650-1443
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn38119185164-1342
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth381011175462-841
19Stoke CityStoke38118193553-1841
20Queens Park RangersQPR381010183650-1440
21Birmingham CityBirmingham38109194259-1739
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield38815154261-1939
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38115223061-3138
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham38311243077-4720


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