Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.