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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 46%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
28.83% ( -0.65) | 25.17% ( -0.17) | 46% ( 0.82) |
Both teams to score 54.38% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.18% ( 0.37) | 48.82% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.08% ( 0.33) | 70.92% ( -0.33) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.05% ( -0.28) | 30.94% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.76% ( -0.33) | 67.24% ( 0.33) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.75% ( 0.52) | 21.25% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.84% ( 0.8) | 54.15% ( -0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.96% Total : 28.83% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 53 |
2 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
3 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 49 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 46 |
6 | Barnsley | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 43 |
7 | Stevenage | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 43 |
8 | Blackpool | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 39 |
9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 32 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 30 |
14 | Port Vale | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
15 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 30 |
16 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 29 |
17 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 27 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
20 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 26 |
21 | Reading | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 23 |
22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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