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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Peterborough United |
34.93% ( 0.48) | 24.81% ( -0.01) | 40.25% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 58.18% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.99% ( 0.15) | 45.01% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.64% ( 0.14) | 67.36% ( -0.14) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.89% ( 0.35) | 25.11% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.19% ( 0.48) | 59.81% ( -0.48) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.7% ( -0.16) | 22.3% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.23% ( -0.24) | 55.77% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Peterborough United |
2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.94% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.81% | 1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 40.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 53 |
2 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
3 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 49 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 46 |
6 | Barnsley | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 43 |
7 | Stevenage | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 43 |
8 | Blackpool | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 39 |
9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 32 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 30 |
14 | Port Vale | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
15 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 30 |
16 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 29 |
17 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 27 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
20 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 26 |
21 | Reading | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 23 |
22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |