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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Watford |
46.33% ( 0.1) | 25.68% ( -0.27) | 27.99% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 52.21% ( 0.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.59% ( 1.2) | 51.41% ( -1.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.78% ( 1.03) | 73.23% ( -1.03) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.83% ( 0.55) | 22.18% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.43% ( 0.82) | 55.58% ( -0.82) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.08% ( 0.77) | 32.92% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.5% ( 0.85) | 69.5% ( -0.85) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.32% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 27.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
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