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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Watford
1 - 0
Sheff Weds

Asprilla (82')
Porteous (45'), Lewis (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hendrick (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Watford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday

Sheffield Wednesday could well be rejuvenated under new management and will be desperate for a first league win of the season, while their hosts are yet to get going this term, but following the break, we see Watford having enough to click into place and return with a victory at Vicarage Road given the superior quality in their squad.
  • Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 22.24%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.

    Result
    WatfordDrawSheffield Wednesday
    54.17% (0.149 0.15) 23.58% (0.012 0.01) 22.24% (-0.16 -0.16)
    Both teams to score 53.12% (-0.238 -0.24)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    52.54% (-0.218 -0.22)47.46% (0.218 0.22)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    30.33% (-0.202 -0.2)69.67% (0.202 0.2)
    Watford Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    82.58% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)17.42% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    52.13% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)47.86% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
    Sheffield Wednesday Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    64.33% (-0.27000000000001 -0.27)35.66% (0.271 0.27)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    27.56% (-0.278 -0.28)72.43% (0.28 0.28)
    Score Analysis
        Watford 54.17%
        Sheffield Wednesday 22.24%
        Draw 23.58%
    WatfordDrawSheffield Wednesday
    1-0 @ 10.85% (0.09 0.09)
    2-1 @ 9.78%
    2-0 @ 9.49% (0.07 0.07)
    3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
    3-0 @ 5.53% (0.036 0.04)
    3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
    4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.004 -0)
    4-0 @ 2.41% (0.013 0.01)
    4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
    Other @ 3.7%
    Total : 54.17%
    1-1 @ 11.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
    0-0 @ 6.21% (0.056 0.06)
    2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.037 -0.04)
    3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
    Other @ 0.12%
    Total : 23.58%
    0-1 @ 6.41% (0.011 0.01)
    1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.037 -0.04)
    0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
    1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
    2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
    0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
    Other @ 1.91%
    Total : 22.24%

    How you voted: Watford vs Sheff Weds

    Watford
    73.9%
    Draw
    4.3%
    Sheffield Wednesday
    21.7%
    23
    Head to Head
    Apr 2, 2021 3pm
    Gameweek 39
    Watford
    1-0
    Sheff Weds
    Lees (7' og.)
    Sierralta (30'), Hughes (64')

    Borner (3'), Urhoghide (38'), Reach (41'), Wildsmith (78')
    Sep 19, 2020 3pm
    Gameweek 2
    Sheff Weds
    0-0
    Watford
    Luongo (65'), Bannan (68')
    Chalobah (81'), Garner (88')
    rhs 2.0
    Today's games header
    Tables header RHS
    TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
    1Leeds UnitedLeeds38257670284282
    2Leicester CityLeicester37264774334182
    3Ipswich TownIpswich38249580493181
    4Southampton36227773472673
    5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381991059362366
    6Norwich CityNorwich381871369541561
    7Hull City371610115346758
    8Coventry CityCoventry3715121059431657
    9Preston North EndPreston37168134954-556
    10Middlesbrough38166165352154
    11Cardiff CityCardiff38165174351-853
    12Sunderland38146184845348
    13Watford381212145351248
    14Bristol City38138174245-347
    15Swansea CitySwansea381210164858-1046
    16Millwall381110173650-1443
    17Blackburn RoversBlackburn38119185164-1342
    18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth381011175462-841
    19Stoke CityStoke38118193553-1841
    20Queens Park RangersQPR381010183650-1440
    21Birmingham CityBirmingham38109194259-1739
    22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield38815154261-1939
    23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38115223061-3138
    24Rotherham UnitedRotherham38311243077-4720


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