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Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Norwich logo

Swansea
2 - 1
Norwich

Lowe (3'), Humphreys (83')
Lowe (48'), Key (52'), Cullen (55'), Cooper (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sara (22')
Gibson (18'), Rowe (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Swansea
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 2-2 Norwich City

None of the last nine league encounters between Swansea and Norwich have ended as a draw, but a closely-fought contest could be on the cards on Wednesday. Both teams have regularly shown their threat in the final third so far this term, but they have also looked vulnerable at times defensively, so we can see an entertaining score draw being played out in South Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swansea City in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
41.46% (-0.215 -0.22) 24.11% (-0.142 -0.14) 34.43% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Both teams to score 60.61% (0.625 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (0.773 0.77)41.8% (-0.77 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (0.775 0.77)64.2% (-0.771 -0.77)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.65% (0.232 0.23)20.35% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.24% (0.363 0.36)52.76% (-0.359 -0.36)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (0.568 0.57)23.9% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.9% (0.807 0.81)58.1% (-0.802 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 41.46%
    Norwich City 34.43%
    Draw 24.11%
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.74% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-0 @ 6.16% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.68% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.035 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 41.46%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.078 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 7.93% (0.043 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.79% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.086 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.051 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.43%

How you voted: Swansea vs Norwich

Swansea City
32.4%
Draw
24.3%
Norwich City
43.2%
37
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Norwich
0-3
Swansea
Latibeaudiere (23'), Cullen (39'), Ntcham (64')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (1')
Feb 5, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 28
Swansea
2-0
Norwich
Ayew (42'), Hourihane (48')
Bennett (65'), Guehi (69'), Woodman (84')

Idah (67'), Vrancic (78')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 11
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Stiepermann (84')
Aarons (88')

Guehi (17'), Naughton (36'), Bennett (38'), Fulton (55'), Roberts (90+3')
Mar 8, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Buendia (54')
Buendia (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds38257670284282
2Leicester CityLeicester37264774334182
3Ipswich TownIpswich38249580493181
4Southampton36227773472673
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381991059362366
6Norwich CityNorwich381871369541561
7Hull City371610115346758
8Coventry CityCoventry3715121059431657
9Preston North EndPreston37168134954-556
10Middlesbrough38166165352154
11Cardiff CityCardiff38165174351-853
12Sunderland38146184845348
13Watford381212145351248
14Bristol City38138174245-347
15Swansea CitySwansea381210164858-1046
16Millwall381110173650-1443
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn38119185164-1342
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth381011175462-841
19Stoke CityStoke38118193553-1841
20Queens Park RangersQPR381010183650-1440
21Birmingham CityBirmingham38109194259-1739
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield38815154261-1939
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38115223061-3138
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham38311243077-4720


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