Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.