Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.