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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
61.55% ( 0.13) | 21.27% ( -0.05) | 17.17% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 52.16% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.43% ( 0.11) | 44.56% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.07% ( 0.11) | 66.93% ( -0.11) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.04% ( 0.07) | 13.96% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.56% ( 0.15) | 41.43% ( -0.15) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.62% ( -0.02) | 39.37% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.93% ( -0.02) | 76.07% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 61.54% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.26% | 0-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leyton Orient | 46 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 91 |
2 | Stevenage | 46 | 24 | 13 | 9 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 85 |
P | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 83 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 22 | 13 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 79 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 76 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Salford City | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 72 | 54 | 18 | 75 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 72 | 55 | 17 | 75 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 62 |
10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 61 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 61 |
12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 58 |
13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 58 |
14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 58 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 57 |
16 | Walsall | 46 | 12 | 19 | 15 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 55 |
17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 55 |
18 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 55 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 52 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 49 |
21 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 11 | 15 | 20 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 46 |
R | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 52 | 78 | -26 | 43 |
R | Rochdale | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 46 | 70 | -24 | 38 |
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