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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
53.8% ( -0.02) | 23.92% ( 0) | 22.28% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.16% ( -0.01) | 48.83% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.07% ( -0.01) | 70.93% ( 0.01) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.93% ( -0.01) | 18.07% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.02% ( -0.01) | 48.98% ( 0.01) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.6% ( 0.01) | 36.4% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.81% ( 0) | 73.18% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.8% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.92% | 0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 22.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 58 | 22 | 36 | 68 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 68 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 32 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 60 |
4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 59 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 57 |
6 | Barnsley | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 56 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 48 |
9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 47 |
10 | Portsmouth | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 42 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Port Vale | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 40 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 39 |
14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 39 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 38 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 36 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 36 |
18 | Burton Albion | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 34 |
19 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 33 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 30 |
21 | MK Dons | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 29 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 29 |
23 | Morecambe | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 28 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 22 |
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