Blackburn are still within touching distance of the top six but need to start turning regular draws into regular wins if they are to finish in the playoffs, with a home tie with Swansea a good opportunity to begin such a run.
Swansea narrowly beat Blackpool in the week, but Ewood Park on Saturday will be a harder test which we believe they will not be able to be successful in.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
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