MX23RW : Saturday, May 6 19:51:57| >> :600:203371:203371:
Birmingham logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round Replays
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Blackburn logo
Birmingham
0 - 1
Blackburn

Chong (90+3'), James (120+2')
FT
(aet)
Trusty (100' og.)
Buckley (98'), Brereton Diaz (107'), Travis (114')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Birmingham City and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Birmingham City 1-2 Blackburn Rovers (after extra time)

With Birmingham having finally ended their dismal run against second-tier opposition, they will be confident of progressing through to the fifth round. However, Blackburn have history of bouncing back from disappointing results, and we feel that they could edge this contest, potentially after extra time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%).

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
35.51% (0.371 0.37) 27.32% (-0.226 -0.23) 37.17% (-0.145 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.88% (0.729 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.34% (0.898 0.9)55.65% (-0.897 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.19% (0.728 0.73)76.81% (-0.72799999999999 -0.73)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (0.67999999999999 0.68)29.88% (-0.68 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (0.815 0.82)65.97% (-0.815 -0.81)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14% (0.351 0.35)28.86% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.27% (0.433 0.43)64.73% (-0.43300000000001 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 35.5%
    Blackburn Rovers 37.17%
    Draw 27.31%
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 10.41% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.29% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 35.5%
1-1 @ 12.94% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.62% (-0.303 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 10.71% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-2 @ 8.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.66% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.064 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 37.17%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Blackburn

Birmingham City
29.2%
Draw
26.4%
Blackburn Rovers
44.3%
106

Prediction and betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Fourth Round
Blackburn
2-2
Birmingham
Dack (33'), Rankin-Costello (46')
Rankin-Costello (22'), Morton (69'), Wharton (80'), Brereton Diaz (86')
Khadra (3')
Chong (40')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
4-0
Birmingham
Buckley (6'), Khadra (52'), Brereton Diaz (60' pen., 79')
Buckley (41')

Sunjic (43')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Blackburn
5-2
Birmingham
Armstrong (27' pen., 71', 85'), Brereton (45+1'), Elliott (83')
Pedersen (22'), Jutkiewicz (50')
Leko (26'), Stirk (40'), Pedersen (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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