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Blackburn logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Birmingham logo
Blackburn
2 - 2
Birmingham
Dack (33'), Rankin-Costello (46')
Rankin-Costello (22'), Brereton Diaz (86'), Morton (69'), Wharton (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Khadra (3')
Chong (40')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Preston
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Birmingham City

While Blues boosted their confidence with a win over Forest Green in the previous round, we cannot ignore their form at the second tier. Although Blackburn have been far from perfect themselves, they should have enough quality in their ranks to record a relatively comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
40.58% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 26.94% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 32.47% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.51% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.39% (0.079000000000001 0.08)54.62% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.05% (0.064999999999998 0.06)75.95% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (0.024000000000001 0.02)26.44% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39% (0.033000000000001 0.03)61.6% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.66% (0.066000000000003 0.07)31.34% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3% (0.076999999999998 0.08)67.7% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 40.58%
    Birmingham City 32.47%
    Draw 26.93%
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.58%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.28% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 9.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.47%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Birmingham

Blackburn Rovers
71.4%
Draw
10.7%
Birmingham City
17.9%
28
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
4-0
Birmingham
Buckley (6'), Khadra (52'), Brereton Diaz (60' pen., 79')
Buckley (41')

Sunjic (43')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Blackburn
5-2
Birmingham
Armstrong (27' pen., 71', 85'), Brereton (45+1'), Elliott (83')
Pedersen (22'), Jutkiewicz (50')
Leko (26'), Stirk (40'), Pedersen (67')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-2
Blackburn

Sanchez (85')
Armstrong (10'), Dack (90+1')
Travis (39'), Douglas (81'), Armstrong (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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