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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 48.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 25.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Birmingham City |
48.24% | 26.54% | 25.21% |
Both teams to score 47.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.55% | 56.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.54% | 77.46% |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.56% | 23.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.55% | 57.45% |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.06% | 37.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.29% | 74.7% |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 12.9% 2-0 @ 9.36% 2-1 @ 9.07% 3-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-1 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.65% Total : 48.24% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 8.62% 1-2 @ 6.06% 0-2 @ 4.18% 1-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.42% 0-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.63% Total : 25.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Burnley | 38 | 24 | 12 | 2 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 84 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 22 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 33 | 26 | 73 |
3 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 71 | 46 | 25 | 67 |
4 | Luton TownLuton | 39 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 67 |
5 | Millwall | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 61 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 19 | 4 | 15 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 61 |
7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 57 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 57 |
9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 56 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 56 |
11 | Watford | 39 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 55 |
12 | Sunderland | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 54 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 51 |
14 | Bristol City | 39 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 49 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 49 |
16 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 48 |
17 | Hull City | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 48 |
18 | Reading | 39 | 13 | 7 | 19 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 46 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 38 | 60 | -22 | 42 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 41 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 39 | 10 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Blackpool | 39 | 8 | 11 | 20 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 35 |
24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 39 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 34 | 59 | -25 | 34 |
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