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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Middlesbrough logo
Birmingham
1 - 3
Middlesbrough
Chong (74')
Bielik (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Crooks (57', 59'), Akpom (85')
Howson (15'), Smith (81')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Hull City
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 0-2 Middlesbrough

While it has been proven time and time again that anything can happen in the Championship, Boro have been relentless under Carrick. Despite their recent defeat at Burnley, we expect the visitors to have few issues in registering a win and clean sheet at St Andrew's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawMiddlesbrough
26.87% (-0.134 -0.13) 25.95% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04) 47.17% (0.174 0.17)
Both teams to score 50.57% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.85% (0.064 0.06)53.14% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (0.054000000000002 0.05)74.71% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.28% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)34.72% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.55% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)71.45% (0.080999999999989 0.08)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.47% (0.105 0.11)22.52% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.9% (0.157 0.16)56.09% (-0.156 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 26.87%
    Middlesbrough 47.16%
    Draw 25.95%
Birmingham CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.27% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.52% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 26.87%
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 11.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.19% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.69% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.57% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.32% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.7% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.61% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 47.16%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Middlesbrough

Birmingham City
23.4%
Draw
14.1%
Middlesbrough
62.5%
64
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 12.30pm
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Birmingham
1-4
Middlesbrough
Colin (15')
Assombalonga (27'), Saville (31'), Etheridge (56' og.), Wing (82')
(13')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBurnley4629143873552101
4Middlesbrough462291584562875
5Coventry CityCoventry4618161258461270
6Sunderland4618151368551369
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46209175254-269
8Millwall461911165750768
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom461812165953666
10Swansea CitySwansea461812166864466
11Watford461615155653363
12Preston North EndPreston461712174559-1463
13Norwich CityNorwich461711185754362
14Bristol City461514175556-159
15Hull City461416165161-1058
16Stoke CityStoke461411215554153
17Birmingham CityBirmingham461411214758-1153
18Huddersfield TownHuddersfield461411214762-1553
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham461117184960-1150
20Queens Park RangersQPR461311224471-2750
21Cardiff CityCardiff461310234158-1749
RReading461311224668-2244
RBlackpool461111244872-2444
RWigan AthleticWigan461015213865-2742

Real Madrid Until The End
Ted Lasso creative

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