Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 47.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
