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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Birmingham logo
Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Birmingham
Akpom (23')
McNair (15'), Dijksteel (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bacuna (13')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Birmingham City

Middlesbrough have not started the season how they would have liked, but to their credit they have a decent home record and have notched decent home wins against Sunderland and Swansea. However, despite the possibility of a new manager bounce, after recent form we do not think they will have enough to win the game, particularly with Birmingham being on a decent run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 15.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.73%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBirmingham City
61.36% (0.119 0.12) 23.19% (-0.081 -0.08) 15.45% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 42.89% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.89% (0.226 0.23)55.11% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64% (0.185 0.18)76.36% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (0.12400000000001 0.12)17.61% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.8% (0.21599999999999 0.22)48.2% (-0.217 -0.22)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.06% (0.085000000000001 0.09)47.94% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.81% (0.061999999999998 0.06)83.19% (-0.062999999999988 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 61.36%
    Birmingham City 15.45%
    Draw 23.19%
MiddlesbroughDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 14.66% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 12.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.37% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.2% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.11% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 61.36%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.44% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 23.19%
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-2 @ 3.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 15.45%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Birmingham

Middlesbrough
44.4%
Draw
35.6%
Birmingham City
20.0%
45
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 12.30pm
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Birmingham
1-4
Middlesbrough
Colin (15')
Assombalonga (27'), Saville (31'), Etheridge (56' og.), Wing (82')
(13')
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBurnley4629143873552101
4Middlesbrough462291584562875
5Coventry CityCoventry4618161258461270
6Sunderland4618151368551369
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46209175254-269
8Millwall461911165750768
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom461812165953666
10Swansea CitySwansea461812166864466
11Watford461615155653363
12Preston North EndPreston461712174559-1463
13Norwich CityNorwich461711185754362
14Bristol City461514175556-159
15Hull City461416165161-1058
16Stoke CityStoke461411215554153
17Birmingham CityBirmingham461411214758-1153
18Huddersfield TownHuddersfield461411214762-1553
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham461117184960-1150
20Queens Park RangersQPR461311224471-2750
21Cardiff CityCardiff461310234158-1749
RReading461311224668-2244
RBlackpool461111244872-2444
RWigan AthleticWigan461015213865-2742

Real Madrid Until The End
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