Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Everton had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Leeds United |
35.23% ( 1.47) | 25.72% ( -0.01) | 39.05% ( -1.45) |
Both teams to score 55.08% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.95% ( 0.29) | 49.05% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.87% ( 0.26) | 71.12% ( -0.26) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.15% ( 1.03) | 26.85% ( -1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.84% ( 1.34) | 62.15% ( -1.34) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.29% ( -0.63) | 24.71% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.75% ( -0.88) | 59.25% ( 0.88) |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.11% Total : 35.23% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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