Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Leeds United |
44.64% | 25.34% | 30.03% |
Both teams to score 54.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1% | 48.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.01% | 70.99% |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.11% | 21.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.85% | 55.15% |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.87% | 30.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.73% | 66.27% |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.36% Total : 44.63% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.6% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.91% 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.19% Total : 30.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 51 | 23 | 28 | 54 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 52 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 46 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 23 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 41 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 39 |
6 | Fulham | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 38 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Liverpool | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
9 | Brentford | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
10 | Chelsea | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 31 |
11 | Aston Villa | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 25 |
14 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 24 |
15 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 23 |
16 | Everton | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
17 | Bournemouth | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 21 |
18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 20 |
19 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 19 |
20 | Southampton | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 18 |
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