Buxton 1-0 Southport - National League North - February 18, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Southport had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Buxton in this match.

Result
Buxton	Draw	Southport
43.39% ( -0.62)	26.77% ( 0.08)	29.83% ( 0.54)

Both teams to score 50% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.21% (

-0.1)

54.78% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.91% (

-0.08)

76.09% (

0.08)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95% (

-0.36)

25.04% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.28% (

-0.49)

59.72% (

0.49)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.71% (

0.35)

33.29% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.09% (

0.38)

69.91% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Buxton 43.39%

Southport 29.84%

Draw 26.76%

Buxton	Draw	Southport
1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.39%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.46% Total : 29.84%