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Walsall
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK at The People's Pension Stadium
Crawley
1 - 1
Doncaster
Khaleel (82')
Ogungbo (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lavery (45+6')
Anderson (9'), Brown (45'), Close (90+6'), Molyneux (90+3')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Crawley
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Doncaster
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 1-0 Doncaster Rovers

Crawley appear to have turned a corner in recent weeks, running out comprehensive 3-1 winners against Harrogate Town in their last home match, before beating Wimbledon on their travels. With Doncaster struggling to put any sort of run together, particularly on the road, we expect the hosts to run out narrow winners on Tuesday night, in a closely-contested game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
43.39% (0.463 0.46) 26.54% (-0.142 -0.14) 30.07% (-0.318 -0.32)
Both teams to score 50.8% (0.284 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.19% (0.433 0.43)53.81% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.72% (0.363 0.36)75.28% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (0.43000000000001 0.43)24.61% (-0.425 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.88% (0.595 0.59)59.12% (-0.59 -0.59)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)32.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)69.16% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 43.39%
    Doncaster Rovers 30.07%
    Draw 26.53%
Crawley TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 11.25% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 43.39%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.03% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.155 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 30.07%

How you voted: Crawley vs Doncaster

Crawley Town
49.0%
Draw
22.4%
Doncaster Rovers
28.6%
49
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Doncaster
4-1
Crawley
Olowu (40'), Miller (59' pen., 67'), Hurst (83')
Tilley (42')
Tilley (30')
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Crawley
0-0
Doncaster

McNerney (54'), Smith (55'), Boldewijn (83'), Young (93')

Baudry (63'), Alcock (93')
Aug 13, 2016 3pm
Doncaster
1-1
Crawley
Coppinger (49')
Houghton (83')
Collins (26')
Davey (89'), Smith (92'), Blackman (95')
Feb 10, 2015 7.45pm
Crawley
0-5
Doncaster

Edwards (26'), Wordsworth (62')
Walsh (67')
Butler (38'), Wellens (56'), Tyson (64'), Forrester (73'), Main (91')
Stevens (20'), Tyson (67')
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Northampton TownNorthampton432114857391877
3Stevenage422113857381976
4Stockport CountyStockport4320121160362472
5Carlisle UnitedCarlisle431915962392372
6Bradford CityBradford421914954361871
7Salford City432091466491769
8Mansfield TownMansfield4219121167511669
9BarrowBarrow43188174648-262
10Sutton UnitedSutton431512164349-657
11Swindon TownSwindon421413155350355
12Grimsby Town421413154652-655
13Tranmere RoversTranmere431412174246-454
14Doncaster RoversDoncaster43157214360-1752
15Walsall431118144245-351
16Crewe AlexandraCrewe411215144151-1051
17Gillingham431312183245-1351
18Newport CountyNewport421214164449-550
19AFC Wimbledon431114184653-747
20Colchester UnitedColchester431113194047-746
21Harrogate TownHarrogate421015175261-945
22Crawley TownCrawley431012214569-2442
23Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool43815204874-2639
24Rochdale43810254167-2634

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