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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Crawley Town |
61.44% ( 0.01) | 22.61% ( -0.01) | 15.95% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 45.54% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.89% ( 0.02) | 52.11% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.16% ( 0.02) | 73.83% ( -0.02) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.48% ( 0.01) | 16.52% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.73% ( 0.02) | 46.27% ( -0.02) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.55% ( 0.01) | 45.44% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.71% ( 0.01) | 81.29% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 13.51% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.17% 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.31% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 61.43% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.2% 0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.11% 2-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.39% Total : 15.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Notts County | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
2 | Gillingham | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 18 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Crawley TownCrawley | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 16 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
7 | Wrexham | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 15 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 14 |
10 | MK Dons | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
11 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 13 |
12 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 13 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
14 | Morecambe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 11 |
16 | Walsall | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
17 | Grimsby Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
19 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 7 |
21 | Salford City | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 |
22 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 7 |
23 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 6 |
24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 4 |
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