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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 36.19%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Swindon Town |
36.19% ( -0.15) | 28.07% ( -0.02) | 35.74% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 47.58% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.48% ( 0.06) | 58.52% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.91% ( 0.05) | 79.1% ( -0.05) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.13% ( -0.07) | 30.88% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.84% ( -0.08) | 67.16% ( 0.08) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.84% ( 0.14) | 31.17% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.5% ( 0.16) | 67.5% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.19% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.07% | 0-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 36 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 73 |
2 | Stevenage | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 67 |
3 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 66 |
4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 65 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 60 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Salford City | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 59 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 56 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 55 |
10 | BarrowBarrow | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 52 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 51 |
12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 36 | 15 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 50 |
13 | Walsall | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 48 |
14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 48 |
15 | Grimsby Town | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 45 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
17 | AFC Wimbledon | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 36 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 42 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 37 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 38 |
20 | Gillingham | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 38 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 36 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 58 | -20 | 32 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 40 | 66 | -26 | 31 |
24 | Rochdale | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 26 |
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