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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Stevenage |
39.09% ( 0.52) | 28.69% ( -0.02) | 32.22% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 45.36% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.96% ( -0.01) | 61.04% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.97% ( -0.01) | 81.03% ( 0.01) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.63% ( 0.31) | 30.37% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.44% ( 0.36) | 66.56% ( -0.36) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.15% ( -0.36) | 34.85% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.41% ( -0.39) | 71.59% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.09% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.68% | 0-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.19% Total : 32.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 72 |
2 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 56 | 34 | 22 | 61 |
3 | Stevenage | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 60 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 59 |
5 | Bradford CityBradford | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 58 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 56 |
7 | Salford City | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 56 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 55 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 54 |
10 | BarrowBarrow | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 51 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 49 |
12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 48 |
13 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 47 |
14 | Walsall | 33 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 44 |
15 | AFC Wimbledon | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 39 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 39 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 38 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 35 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 35 |
21 | Gillingham | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 35 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 35 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 29 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 26 |
24 | Rochdale | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 25 |
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