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Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Sutton United
Crawley
1 - 2
Sutton
Oteh (90+5')
Craig (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kizzi (61'), Milsom (70' pen.)
Randall (83'), Boldewijn (84')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Crawley Town 1-0 Sutton United

While Sutton United will be looking to end their poor run of results on the road, Monday's game pits them against a Crawley Town side who are unbeaten in five of their last six home games in the league. We are backing the Red Devils to end their losing streak in this fixture and return to winning ways in front of their home fans, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawSutton United
37.93% (0.10599999999999 0.11) 27.57% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 34.5% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.02% (0.259 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.3% (0.325 0.32)56.69% (-0.328 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (0.26 0.26)77.65% (-0.262 -0.26)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08% (0.22 0.22)28.91% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.21% (0.273 0.27)64.79% (-0.274 -0.27)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95% (0.151 0.15)31.04% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.64% (0.178 0.18)67.36% (-0.178 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 37.93%
    Sutton United 34.5%
    Draw 27.56%
Crawley TownDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.13% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 37.93%
1-1 @ 13.02% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.98% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 10.5% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.97% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.5%

Head to Head
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Sutton
3-0
Crawley
Smith (4', 86'), Bennett (7')
Barden (35')

Davies (34'), Oteh (52'), Nadesan (90+2')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Crawley
0-1
Sutton

Dallison (19'), Francillette (83')
Olaofe (84')
John (75'), Milsom (75'), Bouzanis (76'), Boldewijn (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Notts County96211914520
2Gillingham960388018
3Mansfield TownMansfield9450168817
4Crawley TownCrawley95221717017
5Swindon TownSwindon844024131116
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe94412114716
7Wrexham94322020015
8AFC Wimbledon9351159614
9Stockport CountyStockport94231712514
10MK Dons94231615114
11Bradford CityBradford9342109113
12Accrington StanleyAccrington94141313013
13BarrowBarrow833287112
14Morecambe8323910-111
15Newport CountyNewport93241719-211
16Walsall93241216-411
17Grimsby Town92431112-110
18Harrogate TownHarrogate9315811-310
19Doncaster RoversDoncaster9225916-78
20Colchester UnitedColchester82151011-17
21Salford City92161116-57
22Forest Green RoversForest Green9216918-97
23Tranmere RoversTranmere92071215-36
24Sutton UnitedSutton91171221-94

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