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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Gillingham |
45.85% ( -0.01) | 26.6% ( 0) | 27.56% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 49.17% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.8% ( -0) | 55.2% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.56% ( -0) | 76.44% ( 0) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.97% ( -0.01) | 24.02% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.71% ( -0.01) | 58.29% ( 0) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.72% ( 0) | 35.27% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.97% ( 0) | 72.03% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 12.08% 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 45.84% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.06% Total : 27.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 57 |
2 | Stevenage | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 55 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 49 |
5 | Salford City | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 45 |
6 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 42 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 41 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 40 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 39 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 39 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 39 |
13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 38 |
14 | Walsall | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 37 |
15 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 37 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 33 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 31 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 24 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Gillingham | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 21 |
24 | Rochdale | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
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