Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 50.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
