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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Sutton United |
44.14% ( -0.21) | 26.65% ( -0) | 29.2% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 50.02% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.4% ( 0.1) | 54.6% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.06% ( 0.09) | 75.94% ( -0.09) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.41% ( -0.06) | 24.59% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.92% ( -0.08) | 59.08% ( 0.08) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.33% ( 0.22) | 33.67% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.68% ( 0.24) | 70.32% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Sutton United |
1-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 44.14% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 29.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 70 |
2 | Stevenage | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 57 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 55 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 54 |
5 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 52 |
6 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 52 |
7 | Salford City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 49 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 48 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 47 |
10 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 46 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 45 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Walsall | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 42 |
14 | AFC Wimbledon | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 42 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 41 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 37 |
17 | Grimsby Town | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 31 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 37 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 35 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 30 |
21 | Gillingham | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 30 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 27 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
24 | Rochdale | 33 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 21 |
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