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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Salford City
Grimsby Town
1 - 4
Salford City
Khan (21')
Glennon (22')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Smith (1', 34', 40'), Galbraith (30')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Grimsby Town 1-1 Salford City

In a match with permutations at both ends of the table, we expect both sides to create plenty of chances in what will be a tight affair. This will be reflected in the scoreline, as Grimsby and Salford will prove inseparable and will come out of the match with a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawSalford City
35.19% (0.19 0.19) 26.96% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 37.85% (-0.204 -0.2)
Both teams to score 51% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.76% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)54.24% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.36% (-0.041 -0.04)75.64% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62% (0.094999999999999 0.09)29.37% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.64% (0.117 0.12)65.36% (-0.116 -0.12)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.21% (-0.14 -0.14)27.78% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.63% (-0.181 -0.18)63.37% (0.183 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 35.19%
    Salford City 37.85%
    Draw 26.95%
Grimsby TownDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.12% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.2% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.5% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 35.19%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.16% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 10.45% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.2% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.69% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 37.85%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Salford City

Grimsby Town
44.4%
Draw
33.3%
Salford City
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Salford City
1-1
Grimsby Town
Touray (88')
Lowe (26'), Touray (73')
Clifton (2')
Clifton (19'), Payne (50'), Matete (73')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Grimsby Town
0-4
Salford City

Tilley (48')
Ohman (90+2')
Henderson (32' pen., 63', 76'), Towell (90+3' pen.)
Hunter (28'), Towell (56'), Touray (89')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MK Dons22006336
2BarrowBarrow22004226
3Gillingham22002026
4Mansfield TownMansfield21105234
5Salford City21103124
6Crawley TownCrawley21102114
7Sutton UnitedSutton21016333
8Accrington StanleyAccrington21013123
9Newport CountyNewport21014313
10Walsall21013303
11Bradford CityBradford21012203
12Harrogate TownHarrogate21011103
13Forest Green RoversForest Green210112-13
14Morecambe210124-23
15Notts County210147-33
16Crewe AlexandraCrewe20204402
17AFC Wimbledon20201102
18Swindon TownSwindon10102201
19Grimsby Town201123-11
20Wrexham201146-21
21Colchester UnitedColchester100112-10
22Tranmere RoversTranmere200213-20
23Stockport CountyStockport200213-20
24Doncaster RoversDoncaster200205-50

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