Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.