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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 13.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Crawley Town |
67.7% ( -0.57) | 19.08% ( 0.18) | 13.22% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 49.79% ( 0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.21% ( 0.12) | 42.79% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.8% ( 0.12) | 65.19% ( -0.13) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.35% ( -0.12) | 11.65% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.3% ( -0.26) | 36.69% ( 0.25) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.35% ( 0.68) | 43.65% ( -0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.17% ( 0.56) | 79.83% ( -0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.58% Total : 67.69% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.9% Total : 19.08% | 0-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.35% Total : 13.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 72 |
2 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 64 |
3 | Stevenage | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 63 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 60 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 59 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 59 |
7 | Salford City | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 56 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 55 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 55 |
10 | BarrowBarrow | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 52 |
11 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 35 | 15 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 50 |
12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 49 |
13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 48 |
14 | Walsall | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 44 |
15 | AFC Wimbledon | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 42 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 42 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 39 |
19 | Gillingham | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 38 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 35 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 30 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 29 |
24 | Rochdale | 36 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 25 |
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