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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Crawley Town |
56.09% ( 0.02) | 23.59% ( -0.04) | 20.32% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.38% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.25% ( 0.2) | 49.75% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.24% ( 0.18) | 71.76% ( -0.18) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.44% ( 0.08) | 17.56% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.89% ( 0.14) | 48.11% ( -0.14) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.12% ( 0.14) | 38.88% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.39% ( 0.13) | 75.61% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 11.87% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.99% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 56.08% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.59% | 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.44% Total : 20.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 70 |
2 | Stevenage | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 57 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 55 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 54 |
5 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 52 |
6 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 52 |
7 | Salford City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 49 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 48 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 47 |
10 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 46 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 45 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Walsall | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 42 |
14 | AFC Wimbledon | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 42 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 41 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 37 |
17 | Grimsby Town | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 31 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 37 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 35 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 30 |
21 | Gillingham | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 30 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 27 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
24 | Rochdale | 33 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 21 |
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