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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Carlisle United |
39.78% ( -0.03) | 26.99% ( -0) | 33.23% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.57% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.37% ( 0.01) | 54.63% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.04% ( 0.01) | 75.96% ( -0.01) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.12% ( -0.01) | 26.88% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.81% ( -0.02) | 62.19% ( 0.02) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.16% ( 0.03) | 30.83% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.88% ( 0.03) | 67.11% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 10.88% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 39.77% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.29% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leyton Orient | 46 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 91 |
P | Stevenage | 46 | 24 | 13 | 9 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 85 |
P | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 83 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 22 | 13 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 79 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 76 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Salford City | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 72 | 54 | 18 | 75 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 72 | 55 | 17 | 75 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 62 |
10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 61 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 61 |
12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 58 |
13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 58 |
14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 58 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 57 |
16 | Walsall | 46 | 12 | 19 | 15 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 55 |
17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 55 |
18 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 55 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 52 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 49 |
21 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 11 | 15 | 20 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 46 |
R | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 52 | 78 | -26 | 43 |
R | Rochdale | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 46 | 70 | -24 | 38 |
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