Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Bradford City |
40.18% ( -0.01) | 27.81% ( 0) | 32.01% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.78% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.99% ( -0) | 58.01% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.31% ( -0) | 78.7% ( 0) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.75% ( -0.01) | 28.25% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.04% ( -0.01) | 63.97% ( 0.01) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.6% ( 0.01) | 33.41% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.97% ( 0) | 70.03% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.44% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.46% Total : 32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leyton Orient | 46 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 91 |
P | Stevenage | 46 | 24 | 13 | 9 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 85 |
P | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 83 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 22 | 13 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 79 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 76 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Salford City | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 72 | 54 | 18 | 75 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 72 | 55 | 17 | 75 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 62 |
10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 61 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 61 |
12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 58 |
13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 58 |
14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 58 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 57 |
16 | Walsall | 46 | 12 | 19 | 15 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 55 |
17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 55 |
18 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 55 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 52 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 49 |
21 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 11 | 15 | 20 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 46 |
R | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 52 | 78 | -26 | 43 |
R | Rochdale | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 46 | 70 | -24 | 38 |
> Full Version |