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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Bradford City |
38.86% | 26.39% | 34.75% |
Both teams to score 52.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.03% | 51.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.29% | 73.71% |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% | 26.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.78% | 61.22% |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.46% | 28.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.67% | 64.33% |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.86% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.46% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 5.87% 1-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leyton Orient | 46 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 91 |
P | Stevenage | 46 | 24 | 13 | 9 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 85 |
P | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 83 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 22 | 13 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 79 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 76 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Salford City | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 72 | 54 | 18 | 75 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 72 | 55 | 17 | 75 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 62 |
10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 61 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 61 |
12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 58 |
13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 58 |
14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 58 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 57 |
16 | Walsall | 46 | 12 | 19 | 15 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 55 |
17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 55 |
18 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 55 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 52 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 49 |
21 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 11 | 15 | 20 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 46 |
R | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 52 | 78 | -26 | 43 |
R | Rochdale | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 46 | 70 | -24 | 38 |
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