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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
41.51% | 26.84% | 31.66% |
Both teams to score 50.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.58% | 54.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.21% | 75.8% |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.15% | 25.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.17% | 60.83% |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.2% | 31.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.76% | 68.24% |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.12% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-0 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.28% Total : 41.5% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 9.42% 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-2 @ 5.4% 1-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 39 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 80 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 40 | 19 | 13 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 70 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 40 | 19 | 12 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 69 |
4 | Stevenage | 39 | 19 | 12 | 8 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 69 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 67 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 39 | 17 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 65 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 39 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 64 |
8 | Salford City | 40 | 18 | 9 | 13 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 63 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 58 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 57 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 40 | 15 | 6 | 19 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 51 |
13 | Walsall | 40 | 11 | 17 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 50 |
14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 40 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 50 |
15 | Grimsby Town | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 48 |
16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 39 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 48 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 39 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 47 |
18 | AFC Wimbledon | 41 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 47 |
19 | Gillingham | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 47 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 40 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 39 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 40 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 38 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 40 | 8 | 14 | 18 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 38 |
24 | Rochdale | 40 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 32 |
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