Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
