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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 52.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 23.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Grimsby Town |
52.02% | 24.62% | 23.35% |
Both teams to score 51.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.38% | 50.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.47% | 72.53% |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.57% | 19.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.73% | 51.27% |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.61% | 36.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.83% | 73.17% |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 11.58% 2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 9.49% 3-1 @ 5.24% 3-0 @ 5.18% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 2.15% 4-0 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.94% Total : 52.02% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 7.07% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.15% 1-2 @ 5.92% 0-2 @ 3.61% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.82% Total : 23.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 72 |
2 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 56 | 34 | 22 | 61 |
3 | Stevenage | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 60 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 59 |
5 | Bradford CityBradford | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 57 |
6 | Salford City | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 56 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 55 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 51 |
10 | BarrowBarrow | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 51 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 49 |
12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 48 |
13 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 47 |
14 | Walsall | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 43 |
15 | AFC Wimbledon | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 39 |
17 | Grimsby Town | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 38 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 37 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 35 |
20 | Gillingham | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 34 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 32 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 35 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 29 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 26 |
24 | Rochdale | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 25 |
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