Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newport County in this match.
