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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Newport County |
27.36% | 25.94% | 46.7% |
Both teams to score 50.98% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.2% | 52.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.58% | 74.42% |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.85% | 34.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.16% | 70.84% |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.41% | 22.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.8% | 56.19% |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 8.29% 2-1 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 4.45% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.77% 3-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.26% Total : 27.36% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 9.17% 0-2 @ 8.54% 1-3 @ 4.55% 0-3 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.12% Total : 46.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 72 |
2 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 56 | 34 | 22 | 61 |
3 | Stevenage | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 60 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 59 |
5 | Bradford CityBradford | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 58 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 56 |
7 | Salford City | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 56 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 55 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 54 |
10 | BarrowBarrow | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 51 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 49 |
12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 48 |
13 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 47 |
14 | Walsall | 33 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 44 |
15 | AFC Wimbledon | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 39 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 39 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 38 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 35 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 35 |
21 | Gillingham | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 35 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 35 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 29 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 26 |
24 | Rochdale | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 25 |
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